2024 Civic Democratic Party presidential primaries: Difference between revisions
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|election_name = 2024 Civic Democratic Party presidential primaries | |election_name = 2024 Civic Democratic Party presidential primaries | ||
|country = Antilles | |country = Antilles | ||
|type = | |type = primary | ||
|election_date = June | |election_date = June 4–June 25, 2024 | ||
|previous_year = [[2020 Civic Democratic Party presidential primaries|2020]] | |previous_year = [[2020 Civic Democratic Party presidential primaries|2020]] | ||
|next_year = 2028 | |next_year = 2028 | ||
|votes_for_election = {{Unbulleted list|1,770 delegates to the [[2024 Civic Democratic National Convention|Civic Democratic National Conveniton]]|886 delegates to win}} | |votes_for_election = {{Unbulleted list|1,770 delegates to the [[2024 Civic Democratic National Convention|Civic Democratic National Conveniton]]|886 delegates to win}} | ||
|ongoing = yes | |ongoing = yes | ||
|image1 = [[File:Raphael Warnock official photo (cropped).jpeg|150x150px]] | |||
|candidate1 = '''[[Allen Paul]]''' | |||
|home_state1 = [[Hispaniola]] | |||
|color1 = DD151C | |||
|popular_vote1 = '''4,992,061''' | |||
|percentage1 = | |||
|delegate_count1 = '''890''' | |||
|image2 = [[File:Former NOLA Mayor Mitch Landrieu Sept. 2018 (cropped).jpeg|150x150px]] | |||
|candidate2 = [[Alexander Wilder]] | |||
|home_state2 = [[Hispaniola]] | |||
|color2 = 1100FF | |||
|popular_vote2 = 3,213,319 | |||
|percentage2 = | |||
|delegate_count2 = 586 | |||
|image3 = [[File:JoeGarciaOfficialHeadshot.jpg|150x150px]] | |||
|candidate3 = [[Esteban Morello]]<br>{{small|(withdrawn)}} | |||
|home_state3 = [[Cuba]] | |||
|color3 = 0505B5 | |||
|popular_vote3 = 847,521 | |||
|percentage3 = | |||
|delegate_count3 = 157 | |||
|title = Civic Democratic nominee | |||
|before_election = [[William Abernathy]] | |||
|after_election = [[Allen Paul]] | |||
}} | }} | ||
{{2024 Antillean presidential election series}} | {{2024 Antillean presidential election series}} | ||
Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized by the [[Civic Democratic Party of the Antilles|Civic Democratic Party]] to select delegates to the [[2024 Civic Democratic National Convention]] who will select the party's nominee for the [[President of the United Commonwealth of America|president]] for the [[2024 Antillean presidential election]]. The election will take place across all four [[Provisional commonwealth (Antilles)|provisional commonwealths]] and [[Civic Democrats Abroad]], taking place between June | Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized by the [[Civic Democratic Party of the Antilles|Civic Democratic Party]] to select delegates to the [[2024 Civic Democratic National Convention]] who will select the party's nominee for the [[President of the United Commonwealth of America|president]] for the [[2024 Antillean presidential election]]. The election will take place across all four [[Provisional commonwealth (Antilles)|provisional commonwealths]] and [[Civic Democrats Abroad]], taking place between June 4 and June 25 of that year. | ||
Speculation for the party's nominee in 2024 has been ongoing since early 2022 with [[William Abernathy]] | Speculation for the party's nominee in 2024 has been ongoing since early 2022 with [[William Abernathy]], the House Minority Leader and the party's nominee in [[2020 Antillean presidential election|2020]], was originally leading in the polls as one of the top contenders, however Abernathy had not given any clear statement as to whether or not he would run in 2024. On 22 January 2023, Abernathy declared that he wouldn't run in 2024, believing that he would serve better continuing as the Minority Leader in the [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House of Representatitives]]. While no other reason was stated, many speculated that other potential factors included the party's underwhelming showing at the [[2022 Antillean elections|2022 midterm elections]] and the growing influence of the party's progressive wing, one that is in disagreement and minor conflict with the party's moderate wing (which Abernathy is viewed as being a part of). Both before and after Abernathy's announcement, many political analysts predicted that the race would be deeply competitive due to the ideological conflict between moderate and progressive Civic Democrats with the latter being credited for better electoral performances such as the Civic Democrat gains in the [[2022 Cuba elections]] and have been credited for retaining a consistent growth in support for the party. | ||
[[Allen Paul]] became the first candidate to formally enter the race, announcing his candidacy on 10 February 2023 at a rally in his home city of [[Montgomery, Hispaniola|Montgomery]] where he laid out his progressive platform and vision for the Antilles. | [[Allen Paul]] became the first candidate to formally enter the race, announcing his candidacy on 10 February 2023 at a rally in his home city of [[Montgomery, Hispaniola|Montgomery]] where he laid out his progressive platform and vision for the Antilles. His campaign announcement was also livestreamed through [[VidStream]] and [[Bubbler]], attracting over a million viewers. | ||
On February 13, 2023, three days following Paul, [[Alexander Wilder]], vice chair of the [[Civic Democratic National Committee]], announced his campaign on social media and held a official launch event a day later in [[Whiteport, Hispaniola|Whiteport]]. Wilder had been teasing a presidential campaign since the midterm elections and is viewed as a leading moderate figure. On February 20, 2023, [[Wyatt Tindall]], {{w|county executive}} of [[Davis Parish]], announced his candidacy through an interview on [[CBS News]] and held an official launch event on March 1. | |||
On March 2, 2023, former [[United Commonwealth Senate|U.C. Senator]] from [[Jefferson Parish]] [[Mike Connelly]], who also was the Civic Democratic presidential nominee in [[2016 Antillean presidential election|2016]], declared his candidacy at a rally in [[Columbia City]]. On April 30, 2023, [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|U.C. representative]] [[Sarah Wilson]] announced her candidacy at a rally in [[New Charleston]]. She is the first woman to enter the race and the first candidate from [[Cuba]] followed by [[Esteban Morello]] on May 31. On June 4, Representative [[Kelly Parker]] of Hispaniola announced her candidacy, becoming the second woman and openly progressive candidate to enter into the race. | |||
During the first primaries [[2024 Puerto Rico Civic Democratic presidential primary|in Puerto Rico]] and [[2024 Virgin Islands Civic Democratic presidential primary|Virgin Islands primaries]], Wilder and Paul won those races respectively and have emerged as the main frontrunners in the race, having amassed signifiant support from the Civic Democratic base from their campaigning efforts and debate performances. Following the [[2024 Hispaniola Civic Democratic presidential primary|Hispaniola primary]] on June 4, 2024, all other candidates have withdrawn from the race with Wilder, Paul, and Morello remaining in the race. Both men's position as the main frontrunners has highlighted the influence and competition between the [[Liberalism in the Antilles|liberal]]/moderate and [[Progressivism in the Antilles|progressive]] factions of the party, with the latter gaining more influence in recent years despite its traditional view as being too radical for electoral success and influence in [[Politics of the Antilles|national politics]]. | |||
Following the [[2024 Cuba Civic Democratic presidential primary|Cuba primary]], Paul has emerged as the {{W|presumptive nominee}} after 398 delegates in the race which combined with the previous 492 he won in the previous three major primaries has seen him win 890 delegates. Paul will be sworn in as the ofifial nominee at the 2024 Civic Democratic National Convention scheduled to be held in [[Whiteport, Hispaniola|Whiteport]] on July 15, making him the second Antillean nationalist as well as the first [[African Antilleans|African Antillean]] and progressive major party presidential nominee in [[History of the Antilles|Antillean history]]. | |||
==Timeline== | ==Timeline== | ||
William Abernathy came in second place in the [[2020 Antillean presidential election]], winning 42% of the popular vote and won 91 votes from the [[United Commonwealth Electoral Congregation|Electoral Congregation]] | William Abernathy came in second place in the [[2020 Antillean presidential election]], winning 42% of the popular vote and won 91 votes from the [[United Commonwealth Electoral Congregation|Electoral Congregation]]. Despite losing to [[Federalist Party of the Antilles|Federalist]] nominee [[Arian Lawrence]], Abernathy won the largest raw number of any Civic Democratic presidential candidate and oversaw an increase in support for the Civic Democratic Party despite underperforming on the down ballot congressional elections. Throughout 2021 and 2022, Abernathy was speculated to be the party's potential nominee in 2024, with Abernathy himself not ruling out a potential candidacy in January 2022. While Abernathy was speculated to be a potential candidate and was the frontrunner in the polls, progressive members of the Civic Democrats encouraged him to not run, arguing that his moderate policies wouldn't entice voters and that the party needed to run in a more progressive direction to challenge the conservative nationalism of the Federalist Party under Lawrence. Said calls grew in August 2022 when [[Allen Paul]], the mayor of Montgomery and Abernathy's vice presidential running mate, publicly expressed interest in running for president again and has remained popular among the party's progressive members and the wider [[Progressivism in the Antilles|progressive movement]]. Abernathy would remain silent about whether or not he would run for president again in 2024 for the rest of 2022 with analysts predicting that he would make a formal announcement sometime in early 2023 after indications from Abernathy himself. | ||
On 22 January 2023, William Abernathy announced that he would not run in 2024 and would instead focus on continuing to serve as House Minority Leader instead. Abernathy's announcement was met with a mixed array of reactions ranging from surprise to support from progressives fearing that his more moderate political positions wouldn't energize voters while others were concerned that without Abernathy, it's unlikely that any other candidate will be able to bridge the gap between the two competing ideological factions. This move left the primaries open to an intensive competitive election with political analysts predicting a large number of candidates will enter into the race and that the conflict between moderate and progressive Civic Democrats will take center stage as both wings vye for both the nomination and control over the party at-large. | |||
===Debates=== | |||
The Civic Democratic National Committee organized a series of debates for the 2024 primaries. The first of these was held on August 23, 2023, in [[New Charleston]], involving the major candidates and was hosted by [[CBS News]] anchors [[Charlotte Whitmer Lang]] and [[Garry Leckner]]. The major topics of the debate included: Economic recovery after the COVID-19 pandemic, rising tensions with the United Commonwealth, and social issues such as the legality of {{w|same-sex marriage}} and {{w|abortion}}. The CDNC and CBS News were criticized by many on {{w|social media}} for including every declared major candidate regardless of polling status, which many believed stripped more important and high-polling candidates of adequate debate time. | |||
A second debate was held on October 3, 2023, and was hosted jointly by [[HNN News]] and the [[Caribbean Central News Agency]] and held in [[Montgomery, Hispaniola|Montgomery]]. Per HNN and CCNA guidelines [[Sarah Wilson]], [[Mike Connelly]] and [[Kelly Parker]] were excluded from the debate as they had not reached at least 8% in the most recent national polls. The major topics of the debate included: economic issues such as government spending and welfare, social issues, and foreign policy, particularly the candidates' position on the [[Conference of American States]] and its handling of the [[2021–23 Caribbean diplomatic crisis]] . Most notably, each candidate was asked their position on [[Antillean independence movement|Antillean independence]] near the end of the debate. [[Allen Paul]] declared his support for Antillean independence, [[Alexander Wilder]] and [[Wyatt Tindall]] declared their opposition, and [[Esteban Morello]] declined to state a position. | |||
A third debate was held on December 4, 2023, and was hosted jointly by CBS News and the ''[[New Charleston Observer]]'' and held in [[Davis, Hispaniola|Davis]]. Paul, Wilder, and Tindall were invited to the debate, while Morello, Wilson, Connelly, and Parker were not, in accordance with a new 10% polling rule. Hispanic Civic Democrats condemned the debate organizers from excluding Morello, who although polled low amongst other candidates nationally, has polled exceptionally high amongst Hispanic Civic Democrats. The major topics of the debate included: racial inequality in the Antilles, rising economic inequality, constitutional reforms, and environmental concerns. At the end of the debate, Paul accused Wilder and Tindall of being "one in the same", and in a social media post shortly following the debate Paul provided supposed evidence of collaboration between the two campaigns. Both candidates denied the assertion. | |||
A fourth debate was held on February 1, 2024 and was hosted jointly by the [[BGP News]] and [[Columbia News Channel]]. All major candidates were invited to the debate, a decision many believe was made in order to prevent a breakoff debate between Morello, Wilson, Connelly, and Parker. Topics included economic reform, specifically regarding the Antillean gambling industry, and various social issues. Halfway during the debate, Wilson accused the debate moderators of favoring Wilder and Paul, with her accusations being joined by Parker and Morello. Under his breath, BGP moderator [[Darius Goodwill]] quietly responded to Wilson by saying they should be more relevant next time. His response was picked up by his microphone, and became a trending topic on Antillean social media. Goodwill was briefly suspended by BGP News and apologized to Wilson days afterwards. | |||
A fifth and final debate was held on May 5, 2024 and was hosted by [[CBS News]]. CBS reinstated requirements to participate in this debate, being that candidates with at least 4% in recent polling were allowed to participate. Only Paul and Wilder attended the debate. While Tindall and Morello were invited, both declined due to undisclosed personal reasons. As Paul and Wilder were both viewed as the front runners of the rest, the fifth debate produced the largest share of viewers amongst the others. Topics included candidate positions on various social issues and foreign policy. | |||
===Primary calendar=== | ===Primary calendar=== | ||
The primary calendar was announced by [[Civic Democratic National Committee]] in May 2023. | |||
{| class="wikitable" | {| class="wikitable" | ||
!Date | !Date | ||
Line 29: | Line 77: | ||
!Primaries/caucuses | !Primaries/caucuses | ||
|- | |- | ||
| | |June 2, 2024 | ||
| | | <center>106</center> | ||
|[[2024 | | <center>50</center> | ||
|[[2024 Puerto Rico Civic Democratic presidential primary|Puerto Rico primary]]<br>[[2024 Virgin Islands Civic Democratic presidential primary|Virgin Islands primary]] | |||
|- | |- | ||
| | |June 11, 2024<br>({{W|Super Tuesday}}) | ||
| colspan="2" | <center> | | colspan="2" | <center>949</center> | ||
|[[2024 Hispaniola Civic Democratic primary|Hispaniola primary]] | |[[2024 Hispaniola Civic Democratic presidential primary|Hispaniola primary]] | ||
|- | |- | ||
| | |June 18, 2024 | ||
| | | colspan="2" | <center>645</center> | ||
| <center> | |[[2024 Cuba Civic Democratic presidential primary|Cuba primary]] | ||
|[[2024 | |||
|- | |- | ||
| | |June 25, 2024 | ||
|colspan="2" | <center>20</center> | |colspan="2" | <center>20</center> | ||
|[[2024 Civic Democrats Abroad primary|Abroad primary]] | |[[2024 Civic Democrats Abroad presidential primary|Abroad primary]] | ||
|} | |} | ||
==Candidates== | ==Candidates== | ||
=== | ===Presumptive nominee=== | ||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;" | |||
|+Presumptive Civic Democratic nominee for the 2024 Antillean presidential election | |||
|- | |||
!scope="col" colspan=2 | Name | |||
!scope="col"| Born | |||
!scope="col" class="unsortable" | Experience | |||
!scope="col"| Home state | |||
!scope="col"| Campaign<br/>Announcement date | |||
!scope="col"| Bound<br/>delegates | |||
!scope="col"| Contests<br/>won | |||
!scope="col"| Popular<br/>vote | |||
!scope="col"| Running<br>mate | |||
|- | |||
| scope="row" data-sort-value="Paul, Allen"|[[File:Raphael Warnock official photo (cropped).jpeg|150x150px]]<br>'''[[Allen Paul]]''' | |||
| style="background:#DD151C;" | | |||
|{{Dts|1969|7|23}}<br>(age {{age nts|1969|7|23}})<br>[[Montgomery, Hispaniola]] | |||
| [[Mayor of Montgomery, Hispaniola]] (2019–present)<br>Member of the [[Montgomery City Council]] for the 2nd Ward (2013–2019)<br>Civic Democratic vice presidential nominee in [[2020 Antillean presidential election|2020]] | |||
| [[File:Flag of the Provisional Commonwealth of Hispaniola.svg|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Hispaniola]] | |||
| [[File:Allen Paul 2024.png|90x90px|framless]]<br>[[Allen Paul 2024 presidential campaign|Campaign]]<hr>February 10, 2023<br>'''Secured nomination: June 18, 2024''' | |||
| 890 | |||
| 3<br>([[2024 Virgin Islands Civic Democratic presidential primary|VI]], [[2024 Hispaniola Civic Democratic presidential primary|HA]], [[2024 Cuba Civic Democratic presidential primary|CA]]) | |||
| 4,992,061 | |||
| ''[[2024 Civic Democratic Party vice presidential candidate selection|TBA]]'' | |||
|} | |||
===Withdrew during the primaries=== | |||
{| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;" | {| class="wikitable sortable" style="text-align:center;" | ||
|+Withdrawn major candidates for the 2024 Civic Democratic Party presidential primaries | |||
|- | |- | ||
! Name | !scope="col" colspan=2 | Name | ||
! Born | !scope="col"| Born | ||
! class="unsortable" | Experience | !scope="col" class="unsortable" | Experience | ||
! Home state | !scope="col"| Home state | ||
! Campaign <br /> | !scope="col"| Campaign<br/>announced | ||
!scope="col"| Campaign<br/>suspended | |||
!scope="col"| Campaign | |||
!scope="col"| Bound<br/>delegates | |||
!scope="col"| Contests<br/>won | |||
!scope="col"| Popular<br/>vote | |||
|- | |- | ||
|[[File: | | scope="row" data-sort-value="Wilder, Alexander"|[[File:Former NOLA Mayor Mitch Landrieu Sept. 2018 (cropped).jpeg|150x150px]]<br>'''[[Alexander Wilder]]''' | ||
|{{ | | style="background:#1100FF;" | | ||
| | | {{Dts|1960|7|19}}<br>(age {{age nts|1960|7|23}})<br>[[Whiteport, Hispaniola]] | ||
|[[File:Flag of the Provisional Commonwealth of Hispaniola.svg|90x90px]]<br>[[Hispaniola]] | | Vice Chair of the [[Civic Democratic National Committee]] (2021–present)<br>[[Mayor of Whiteport, Hispaniola]] (2013–2021)<br>Member of the [[Whiteport Board of Supervisors]] (2005–2013) | ||
|[[ | | [[File:Flag of the Provisional Commonwealth of Hispaniola.svg|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Hispaniola]] | ||
| February 13, 2023 | |||
| June 19, 2024<br>''{{small|(endorsed Paul)}}'' | |||
| [[File:Alexander Wilder 2024.png|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Alexander Wilder 2024 presidential campaign|Campaign]] | |||
| 586 | |||
| 1<br>([[2024 Puerto Rico Civic Democratic presidential primary|PR]]) | |||
| 3,213,319 | |||
|- | |- | ||
|[[File: | | scope="row" data-sort-value="Morello, Esteban"|[[File:JoeGarciaOfficialHeadshot.jpg|150x150px]]<br>'''[[Esteban Morello]]''' | ||
|{{dts| | | style="background:#0505B5; "| | ||
| | | {{dts|1964|7|16}}<br>(age {{Age nts|1964|7|19}})<br>{{W|Trinidad, Cuba}} | ||
|[[File:Flag of the Provisional Commonwealth of | | [[Governor of Cuba]] (2021–present)<br>[[House of Representatives of the Antilles|Antillean Representative]] from [[Cuba's 21st congressional district|CA-21]] (2003–2021) | ||
|[[ | | [[File:Flag of the Provisional Commonwealth of Cuba.svg|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Cuba]] | ||
| May 31, 2023 | |||
| June 17, 2024<br>''{{small|(endorsed Paul)}}'' | |||
| [[File:Esteban Morello 2024.svg|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Esteban Morello 2024 presidential campaign|Campaign]] | |||
| 157 | |||
| ''None'' | |||
| 847,521 | |||
|- | |- | ||
|[[File: | | scope="row" data-sort-value="Connelly, Mike" |[[File:Bob Casey Jr. official photo.jpg|border|150x150px]]<br>'''[[Mike Connelly]]''' | ||
|{{dts| | | style="background:#05DEFF;" | | ||
| | | {{dts|1960|4|18}}<br>(age {{age nts|1960|4|18}})<br>[[New Decatur]], [[Hispaniola]] | ||
|[[File:Flag of the Provisional Commonwealth of Hispaniola.svg|90x90px]]<br>[[Hispaniola]] | | [[Senate of the Antilles|Antillean Senator]] from [[Jefferson Parish]] (2005–2017)<br>Civic Democratic nominee in [[2016 Antillean presidential election|2016]] | ||
|[[ | | [[File:Flag of the Provisional Commonwealth of Hispaniola.svg|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Hispaniola]] | ||
| March 2, 2023 | |||
| June 11, 2024<br>{{small|''(endorsed Wilder)''}} | |||
| [[File:Mike Connelly 2024.svg|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Mike Connelly 2024 presidential campaign|Campaign]] | |||
| 69 | |||
| ''None'' | |||
| 326,937 | |||
|- | |- | ||
|[[File: | | scope="row" data-sort-value="Wilson, Sarah"|[[File:1024px-Susan Wild, Official Portrait, 115th Congress.jpeg|150x150px]]<br>'''[[Sarah Wilson]]''' | ||
|{{dts| | | style="background:#FF5500;" | | ||
|'''[[ | | {{dts|1962|9|19}}<br>(age {{age nts|1962|9|19}})<br>[[New Charleston]], [[Cuba]] | ||
|[[File:Flag of the Provisional Commonwealth of Hispaniola.svg|90x90px]]<br>[[Hispaniola]] | | [[House of Representatives of the Antilles|Antillean Representative]] from [[Cuba's 10th congressional district|CA-10]] (2017–present) | ||
|[[ | | [[File:Flag of the Provisional Commonwealth of Cuba.svg|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Cuba]] | ||
| April 30, 2023 | |||
| June 11, 2024<br>{{small|''(endorsed Paul)''}} | |||
| [[File:Sarah Wilson.svg|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Sarah Wilson 2024 presidential campaign|Campaign]] | |||
| 46 | |||
| ''None'' | |||
| 233,089 | |||
|- | |||
| scope="row" data-sort-value"=Parker, Kelly"|[[File:Katie Porter Official Portrait (cropped).jpg|150x150px]]<br>'''[[Kelly Parker]]''' | |||
| style="background:#FF0505;" | | |||
| {{Dts|1975|10|18}}<br>(age {{age nts|1975|10|18}})<br>[[Davis, Hispaniola]] | |||
| [[House of Representatives of the Antilles|Antillean Representative]] from [[Hispaniola's 87th congressional district|HA-87]] (2017–present)<br>Member of the [[Harrison Parish Council]] (2013–2017) | |||
| [[File:Flag of the Provisional Commonwealth of Hispaniola.svg|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Hispaniola]] | |||
| June 4, 2023 | |||
| June 9, 2024<br>{{small|''(endorsed Paul)''}} | |||
| [[File:Kelly Parker 2024.svg|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Kelly Parker 2024 presidential campaign|Campaign]] | |||
| TBD | |||
| ''None'' | |||
| TBD | |||
|- | |||
| scope="row" data-sort-value="Tindall, Wyatt" |[[File:Congressman Sestak Official Congressional headshot.jpg|150x150px]]<br>'''[[Wyatt Tindall]]''' | |||
| style="background:#FF4D82;" | | |||
| {{dts|1961|9|23}}<br>(age {{age nts|1961|9|23}})<br>[[Saint Louis, Hispaniola]] | |||
| {{W|County executive|Executive}} of [[Davis Parish]] (2019–present)<br>Member of the [[Hispaniola Provisional Assembly]] from the 22nd district (2009–2019) | |||
| [[File:Flag of the Provisional Commonwealth of Hispaniola.svg|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Hispaniola]] | |||
| February 20, 2023 | |||
| June 6, 2024<br>{{small|''(endorsed Wilder)''}} | |||
| [[File:Wyatt Tindall 2024.svg|frameless|90x90px]]<br>[[Wyatt Tindall 2024 presidential campaign|Campaign]] | |||
| TBD | |||
| ''None'' | |||
| TBD | |||
|- | |- | ||
|} | |} | ||
=== | ===Decline to be candidates=== | ||
The following notable individuals have been subject to speculation of a potential candidate, but have denied interest in running. | |||
*[[ | *[[William Abernathy]], House Minority Leader (2017–present), [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House Representative]] from [[Hispaniola's 13th congressional district|HA-13]] (2009–present), and Civic Democrat nominee for president in [[2020 Antillean presidential election|2020]]. | ||
*[[ | *[[Franklin Perry]], Senate Minority Leader (2019–present), [[United Commonwealth Senate|U.C. Senator]] from [[Madison Parish]] (2010–present). | ||
*[[ | *[[Debbie Adams]], [[Governor of the Virgin Islands]] (2017–present), [[Parish Executive of Charlotte Parish]] (2017–present) ''(endorsed Paul)'' | ||
*[[Martha Bennett]], Chair of the [[Congressional Black Conference]] (2021–present) and member of the [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] (1995–present) ''(endorsed Paul)'' | |||
*[[David Adams]], [[United Commonwealth Senate|U.C. Senator]] from [[Charlotte Parish]] (2011–present); [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House Representative]] from [[Virgin Islands at-large district|VI-AL]] (1995–2011) ''(endorsed Paul)'' | |||
*[[Leon Anderson]], [[United Commonwealth Deputy Secretary of the Army|Deputy Secretary of the Army]] (2016–2018) and [[United Commonwealth Vice Chief of Army Staff|Vice Chief of Army Staff]] (2012–2016). ''(endorsed Tindall)'' | |||
*[[Luciana Cortez]], Member of the [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] for [[Cuba's 3rd congressional district]] (2017–present) | *[[Luciana Cortez]], Member of the [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] for [[Cuba's 3rd congressional district]] (2017–present) | ||
*[[Frank Hunt]], [[Mayor of Harrison Roads, Hispaniola|Mayor of Harrison Roads]] (2020–present), Member of the [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] for [[Hispaniola's 33rd congressional | *[[Frank Hunt]], [[Mayor of Harrison Roads, Hispaniola|Mayor of Harrison Roads]] (2020–present), Member of the [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] for [[Hispaniola's 33rd congressional district]] (1999–2020) | ||
*[[Alejandro Blanco]], [[Governor of Puerto Rico]] ( | *[[Alejandro Blanco]], [[Governor of Puerto Rico]] (2017–present), [[Lieutenant Governor of Puerto Rico]] (2009–2017), Member of the [[Puerto Rico Provisional Assembly]] for the 4th district (2001-2009) (2009–2013) | ||
*[[Devonte Hall]], {{w|County executive|Parish Executive}} of [[Butler Parish]] (2021–present), Member of the [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] for [[Hispaniola's 34th congressional district]] (2015–2021), Member of the [[Butler Board of Supervisors]] (2013–2015) | *[[Devonte Hall]], {{w|County executive|Parish Executive}} of [[Butler Parish]] (2021–present), Member of the [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] for [[Hispaniola's 34th congressional district]] (2015–2021), Member of the [[Butler Board of Supervisors]] (2013–2015) | ||
*[[Reginald Abrams]], Member of the [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] for [[Hispaniola's 22nd congressional district]] (2015–present), Vice Chair of the [[Congressional Black Conference (Antilles)|Congressional Black Conference]] (2021–present), Ranking Member of the [[House Education Committee (Antilels)|House Education Committee]] | *[[Reginald Abrams]], Member of the [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] for [[Hispaniola's 22nd congressional district]] (2015–present), Vice Chair of the [[Congressional Black Conference (Antilles)|Congressional Black Conference]] (2021–present), Ranking Member of the [[House Education Committee (Antilels)|House Education Committee]] | ||
*[[Stephanie Delgado]], Member of the [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] for [[Puerto Rico's 2nd congressional district]] (2019–present), Co-Chair of the [[Congressional Progressive Coalition]] (2021–present) | *[[Stephanie Delgado]], Member of the [[United Commonwealth House of Representatives|House of Representatives]] for [[Puerto Rico's 2nd congressional district]] (2019–present), Co-Chair of the [[Congressional Progressive Coalition]] (2021–present) | ||
*[[Harry Ferguson]], {{w|County executive|Parish Executive}} of [[New Charleston Parish]] (2021–present), Member of the [[New Charleston Parish Council]] (2015–2021), Member of the [[New Charleston City Council]] (2005–2015) | *[[Harry Ferguson]], {{w|County executive|Parish Executive}} of [[New Charleston Parish]] (2021–present), Member of the [[New Charleston Parish Council]] (2015–2021), Member of the [[New Charleston City Council]] (2005–2015) | ||
*[[Enrique Esposito]], Member of the [[Cuba Provisional Assembly]] (2001–2005), [[Reform Party of the Antilles|Reform]] candidate for president in [[ | *[[Enrique Esposito]], Member of the [[Cuba Provisional Assembly]] (2001–2005), [[Reform Party of the Antilles|Reform]] candidate for president in [[1988 Antillean presidential election|1988]] ''(endorsed Morello)'' | ||
*[[Marcus Porter]], [[Mayor of Whiteport, Hispaniola|Mayor of Whiteport]] (2020–present), candidate for [[Lieutenant Governor of Hispaniola|Lieutenant governor]] of [[Hispaniola]] in [[2019 Hispaniola gubernatorial election|2019]] | *[[Marcus Porter]], [[Mayor of Whiteport, Hispaniola|Mayor of Whiteport]] (2020–present), candidate for [[Lieutenant Governor of Hispaniola|Lieutenant governor]] of [[Hispaniola]] in [[2019 Hispaniola gubernatorial election|2019]] ''(endorsed Paul)'' | ||
==Vice presidential speculation== | ==Vice presidential speculation== | ||
{{Main|2024 Civic Democratic Party vice presidential candidate selection}} | {{Main|2024 Civic Democratic Party vice presidential candidate selection}} | ||
Various media outlets speculated on who would potentially be the Civic Democratic vice presidential nominee for the 2024 election since 2022. | Various media outlets speculated on who would potentially be the Civic Democratic vice presidential nominee for the 2024 election since 2022. According to Antillean political observers, a unity ticket between the moderate and progressive wings of the party, as since in the [[2020 Antillean presidential election|2020 presidential election]], is most likely to occur again. Beginning in December of 2023, there have been rumors that both [[Allen Paul]] and [[Alexander Wilder]], the two leading candidates in the primary, may select a running mate before the national convention. | ||
Since February of 2024, there has been considered media speculation that Wilder will select [[Wyatt Tindall]] as his running mate to unite the moderate vote. Both campaigns have denied this assertion. | |||
==Endorsements== | ==Endorsements== | ||
{{Main|Endorsements in the 2024 Civic Democratic presidential primaries}} | {{Main|Endorsements in the 2024 Civic Democratic Party presidential primaries}} | ||
==Polling== | ==Polling== | ||
{{Main|Opinion polling for the 2024 Civic Democratic Party presidential primaries}} | |||
==See also== | ==See also== | ||
*[[Antillean presidential election]] | *[[Antillean presidential election]] |
Revision as of 02:26, 25 June 2024
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![]() 2024 Antillean presidential election | |
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Federalist Party | |
Civic Democratic Party | |
Third parties | |
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Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized by the Civic Democratic Party to select delegates to the 2024 Civic Democratic National Convention who will select the party's nominee for the president for the 2024 Antillean presidential election. The election will take place across all four provisional commonwealths and Civic Democrats Abroad, taking place between June 4 and June 25 of that year.
Speculation for the party's nominee in 2024 has been ongoing since early 2022 with William Abernathy, the House Minority Leader and the party's nominee in 2020, was originally leading in the polls as one of the top contenders, however Abernathy had not given any clear statement as to whether or not he would run in 2024. On 22 January 2023, Abernathy declared that he wouldn't run in 2024, believing that he would serve better continuing as the Minority Leader in the House of Representatitives. While no other reason was stated, many speculated that other potential factors included the party's underwhelming showing at the 2022 midterm elections and the growing influence of the party's progressive wing, one that is in disagreement and minor conflict with the party's moderate wing (which Abernathy is viewed as being a part of). Both before and after Abernathy's announcement, many political analysts predicted that the race would be deeply competitive due to the ideological conflict between moderate and progressive Civic Democrats with the latter being credited for better electoral performances such as the Civic Democrat gains in the 2022 Cuba elections and have been credited for retaining a consistent growth in support for the party.
Allen Paul became the first candidate to formally enter the race, announcing his candidacy on 10 February 2023 at a rally in his home city of Montgomery where he laid out his progressive platform and vision for the Antilles. His campaign announcement was also livestreamed through VidStream and Bubbler, attracting over a million viewers.
On February 13, 2023, three days following Paul, Alexander Wilder, vice chair of the Civic Democratic National Committee, announced his campaign on social media and held a official launch event a day later in Whiteport. Wilder had been teasing a presidential campaign since the midterm elections and is viewed as a leading moderate figure. On February 20, 2023, Wyatt Tindall, county executive of Davis Parish, announced his candidacy through an interview on CBS News and held an official launch event on March 1.
On March 2, 2023, former U.C. Senator from Jefferson Parish Mike Connelly, who also was the Civic Democratic presidential nominee in 2016, declared his candidacy at a rally in Columbia City. On April 30, 2023, U.C. representative Sarah Wilson announced her candidacy at a rally in New Charleston. She is the first woman to enter the race and the first candidate from Cuba followed by Esteban Morello on May 31. On June 4, Representative Kelly Parker of Hispaniola announced her candidacy, becoming the second woman and openly progressive candidate to enter into the race.
During the first primaries in Puerto Rico and Virgin Islands primaries, Wilder and Paul won those races respectively and have emerged as the main frontrunners in the race, having amassed signifiant support from the Civic Democratic base from their campaigning efforts and debate performances. Following the Hispaniola primary on June 4, 2024, all other candidates have withdrawn from the race with Wilder, Paul, and Morello remaining in the race. Both men's position as the main frontrunners has highlighted the influence and competition between the liberal/moderate and progressive factions of the party, with the latter gaining more influence in recent years despite its traditional view as being too radical for electoral success and influence in national politics.
Following the Cuba primary, Paul has emerged as the presumptive nominee after 398 delegates in the race which combined with the previous 492 he won in the previous three major primaries has seen him win 890 delegates. Paul will be sworn in as the ofifial nominee at the 2024 Civic Democratic National Convention scheduled to be held in Whiteport on July 15, making him the second Antillean nationalist as well as the first African Antillean and progressive major party presidential nominee in Antillean history.
Timeline
William Abernathy came in second place in the 2020 Antillean presidential election, winning 42% of the popular vote and won 91 votes from the Electoral Congregation. Despite losing to Federalist nominee Arian Lawrence, Abernathy won the largest raw number of any Civic Democratic presidential candidate and oversaw an increase in support for the Civic Democratic Party despite underperforming on the down ballot congressional elections. Throughout 2021 and 2022, Abernathy was speculated to be the party's potential nominee in 2024, with Abernathy himself not ruling out a potential candidacy in January 2022. While Abernathy was speculated to be a potential candidate and was the frontrunner in the polls, progressive members of the Civic Democrats encouraged him to not run, arguing that his moderate policies wouldn't entice voters and that the party needed to run in a more progressive direction to challenge the conservative nationalism of the Federalist Party under Lawrence. Said calls grew in August 2022 when Allen Paul, the mayor of Montgomery and Abernathy's vice presidential running mate, publicly expressed interest in running for president again and has remained popular among the party's progressive members and the wider progressive movement. Abernathy would remain silent about whether or not he would run for president again in 2024 for the rest of 2022 with analysts predicting that he would make a formal announcement sometime in early 2023 after indications from Abernathy himself.
On 22 January 2023, William Abernathy announced that he would not run in 2024 and would instead focus on continuing to serve as House Minority Leader instead. Abernathy's announcement was met with a mixed array of reactions ranging from surprise to support from progressives fearing that his more moderate political positions wouldn't energize voters while others were concerned that without Abernathy, it's unlikely that any other candidate will be able to bridge the gap between the two competing ideological factions. This move left the primaries open to an intensive competitive election with political analysts predicting a large number of candidates will enter into the race and that the conflict between moderate and progressive Civic Democrats will take center stage as both wings vye for both the nomination and control over the party at-large.
Debates
The Civic Democratic National Committee organized a series of debates for the 2024 primaries. The first of these was held on August 23, 2023, in New Charleston, involving the major candidates and was hosted by CBS News anchors Charlotte Whitmer Lang and Garry Leckner. The major topics of the debate included: Economic recovery after the COVID-19 pandemic, rising tensions with the United Commonwealth, and social issues such as the legality of same-sex marriage and abortion. The CDNC and CBS News were criticized by many on social media for including every declared major candidate regardless of polling status, which many believed stripped more important and high-polling candidates of adequate debate time.
A second debate was held on October 3, 2023, and was hosted jointly by HNN News and the Caribbean Central News Agency and held in Montgomery. Per HNN and CCNA guidelines Sarah Wilson, Mike Connelly and Kelly Parker were excluded from the debate as they had not reached at least 8% in the most recent national polls. The major topics of the debate included: economic issues such as government spending and welfare, social issues, and foreign policy, particularly the candidates' position on the Conference of American States and its handling of the 2021–23 Caribbean diplomatic crisis . Most notably, each candidate was asked their position on Antillean independence near the end of the debate. Allen Paul declared his support for Antillean independence, Alexander Wilder and Wyatt Tindall declared their opposition, and Esteban Morello declined to state a position.
A third debate was held on December 4, 2023, and was hosted jointly by CBS News and the New Charleston Observer and held in Davis. Paul, Wilder, and Tindall were invited to the debate, while Morello, Wilson, Connelly, and Parker were not, in accordance with a new 10% polling rule. Hispanic Civic Democrats condemned the debate organizers from excluding Morello, who although polled low amongst other candidates nationally, has polled exceptionally high amongst Hispanic Civic Democrats. The major topics of the debate included: racial inequality in the Antilles, rising economic inequality, constitutional reforms, and environmental concerns. At the end of the debate, Paul accused Wilder and Tindall of being "one in the same", and in a social media post shortly following the debate Paul provided supposed evidence of collaboration between the two campaigns. Both candidates denied the assertion.
A fourth debate was held on February 1, 2024 and was hosted jointly by the BGP News and Columbia News Channel. All major candidates were invited to the debate, a decision many believe was made in order to prevent a breakoff debate between Morello, Wilson, Connelly, and Parker. Topics included economic reform, specifically regarding the Antillean gambling industry, and various social issues. Halfway during the debate, Wilson accused the debate moderators of favoring Wilder and Paul, with her accusations being joined by Parker and Morello. Under his breath, BGP moderator Darius Goodwill quietly responded to Wilson by saying they should be more relevant next time. His response was picked up by his microphone, and became a trending topic on Antillean social media. Goodwill was briefly suspended by BGP News and apologized to Wilson days afterwards.
A fifth and final debate was held on May 5, 2024 and was hosted by CBS News. CBS reinstated requirements to participate in this debate, being that candidates with at least 4% in recent polling were allowed to participate. Only Paul and Wilder attended the debate. While Tindall and Morello were invited, both declined due to undisclosed personal reasons. As Paul and Wilder were both viewed as the front runners of the rest, the fifth debate produced the largest share of viewers amongst the others. Topics included candidate positions on various social issues and foreign policy.
Primary calendar
The primary calendar was announced by Civic Democratic National Committee in May 2023.
Date | Total
pledged delegates |
Primaries/caucuses | |
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June 2, 2024 | Puerto Rico primary Virgin Islands primary | ||
June 11, 2024 (Super Tuesday) |
Hispaniola primary | ||
June 18, 2024 | Cuba primary | ||
June 25, 2024 | Abroad primary |
Candidates
Presumptive nominee
Name | Born | Experience | Home state | Campaign Announcement date |
Bound delegates |
Contests won |
Popular vote |
Running mate | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Allen Paul |
July 23, 1969 (age 55) Montgomery, Hispaniola |
Mayor of Montgomery, Hispaniola (2019–present) Member of the Montgomery City Council for the 2nd Ward (2013–2019) Civic Democratic vice presidential nominee in 2020 |
![]() Hispaniola |
![]() Campaign February 10, 2023 Secured nomination: June 18, 2024 |
890 | 3 (VI, HA, CA) |
4,992,061 | TBA |
Withdrew during the primaries
Name | Born | Experience | Home state | Campaign announced |
Campaign suspended |
Campaign | Bound delegates |
Contests won |
Popular vote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Alexander Wilder |
July 19, 1960 (age 64) Whiteport, Hispaniola |
Vice Chair of the Civic Democratic National Committee (2021–present) Mayor of Whiteport, Hispaniola (2013–2021) Member of the Whiteport Board of Supervisors (2005–2013) |
![]() Hispaniola |
February 13, 2023 | June 19, 2024 (endorsed Paul) |
![]() Campaign |
586 | 1 (PR) |
3,213,319 | |
![]() Esteban Morello |
July 16, 1964 (age 60) Trinidad, Cuba |
Governor of Cuba (2021–present) Antillean Representative from CA-21 (2003–2021) |
![]() Cuba |
May 31, 2023 | June 17, 2024 (endorsed Paul) |
![]() Campaign |
157 | None | 847,521 | |
![]() Mike Connelly |
April 18, 1960 (age 64) New Decatur, Hispaniola |
Antillean Senator from Jefferson Parish (2005–2017) Civic Democratic nominee in 2016 |
![]() Hispaniola |
March 2, 2023 | June 11, 2024 (endorsed Wilder) |
![]() Campaign |
69 | None | 326,937 | |
![]() Sarah Wilson |
September 19, 1962 (age 61) New Charleston, Cuba |
Antillean Representative from CA-10 (2017–present) | ![]() Cuba |
April 30, 2023 | June 11, 2024 (endorsed Paul) |
![]() Campaign |
46 | None | 233,089 | |
![]() Kelly Parker |
October 18, 1975 (age 48) Davis, Hispaniola |
Antillean Representative from HA-87 (2017–present) Member of the Harrison Parish Council (2013–2017) |
![]() Hispaniola |
June 4, 2023 | June 9, 2024 (endorsed Paul) |
![]() Campaign |
TBD | None | TBD | |
![]() Wyatt Tindall |
September 23, 1961 (age 62) Saint Louis, Hispaniola |
Executive of Davis Parish (2019–present) Member of the Hispaniola Provisional Assembly from the 22nd district (2009–2019) |
![]() Hispaniola |
February 20, 2023 | June 6, 2024 (endorsed Wilder) |
![]() Campaign |
TBD | None | TBD |
Decline to be candidates
The following notable individuals have been subject to speculation of a potential candidate, but have denied interest in running.
- William Abernathy, House Minority Leader (2017–present), House Representative from HA-13 (2009–present), and Civic Democrat nominee for president in 2020.
- Franklin Perry, Senate Minority Leader (2019–present), U.C. Senator from Madison Parish (2010–present).
- Debbie Adams, Governor of the Virgin Islands (2017–present), Parish Executive of Charlotte Parish (2017–present) (endorsed Paul)
- Martha Bennett, Chair of the Congressional Black Conference (2021–present) and member of the House of Representatives (1995–present) (endorsed Paul)
- David Adams, U.C. Senator from Charlotte Parish (2011–present); House Representative from VI-AL (1995–2011) (endorsed Paul)
- Leon Anderson, Deputy Secretary of the Army (2016–2018) and Vice Chief of Army Staff (2012–2016). (endorsed Tindall)
- Luciana Cortez, Member of the House of Representatives for Cuba's 3rd congressional district (2017–present)
- Frank Hunt, Mayor of Harrison Roads (2020–present), Member of the House of Representatives for Hispaniola's 33rd congressional district (1999–2020)
- Alejandro Blanco, Governor of Puerto Rico (2017–present), Lieutenant Governor of Puerto Rico (2009–2017), Member of the Puerto Rico Provisional Assembly for the 4th district (2001-2009) (2009–2013)
- Devonte Hall, Parish Executive of Butler Parish (2021–present), Member of the House of Representatives for Hispaniola's 34th congressional district (2015–2021), Member of the Butler Board of Supervisors (2013–2015)
- Reginald Abrams, Member of the House of Representatives for Hispaniola's 22nd congressional district (2015–present), Vice Chair of the Congressional Black Conference (2021–present), Ranking Member of the House Education Committee
- Stephanie Delgado, Member of the House of Representatives for Puerto Rico's 2nd congressional district (2019–present), Co-Chair of the Congressional Progressive Coalition (2021–present)
- Harry Ferguson, Parish Executive of New Charleston Parish (2021–present), Member of the New Charleston Parish Council (2015–2021), Member of the New Charleston City Council (2005–2015)
- Enrique Esposito, Member of the Cuba Provisional Assembly (2001–2005), Reform candidate for president in 1988 (endorsed Morello)
- Marcus Porter, Mayor of Whiteport (2020–present), candidate for Lieutenant governor of Hispaniola in 2019 (endorsed Paul)
Vice presidential speculation
Various media outlets speculated on who would potentially be the Civic Democratic vice presidential nominee for the 2024 election since 2022. According to Antillean political observers, a unity ticket between the moderate and progressive wings of the party, as since in the 2020 presidential election, is most likely to occur again. Beginning in December of 2023, there have been rumors that both Allen Paul and Alexander Wilder, the two leading candidates in the primary, may select a running mate before the national convention.
Since February of 2024, there has been considered media speculation that Wilder will select Wyatt Tindall as his running mate to unite the moderate vote. Both campaigns have denied this assertion.