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Revision as of 13:01, 3 September 2023
(1939–2000)
The Cold War was a period of geopolitical tension between the nations of western North America and northern Europe, known as the Western bloc, and eastern North America and southern Europe, or the Eastern bloc. The period is generally considered to span from 1939 in the aftermath of the Great War to the Revolutions of 2000, the latter causing the fall of many communist governments and a reconciliation in relations between the leading powers, Sierra and the United Commonwealth. The term "cold" is used because there was no large-scale fighting directly between the three blocs, but they each supported major regional conflicts known as proxy wars. The conflict was based around the ideological and geopolitical struggle for global influence by the two powers—primarily Sierra and the Commonwealth—following the victory over the Entente Impériale during the Great War. The doctrine of mutually assured destruction (MAD) discouraged a pre-emptive attack by any side. Aside from the nuclear arsenal development and conventional military deployment, the struggle for dominance was expressed via indirect means such as psychological warfare, propaganda campaigns, espionage, far-reaching embargoes, rivalry at sports events and technological competitions such as the Space Race.
The Western alliance was led primarily by Sierra but also Britain, and mostly consisted of North American and northern European states, which were mostly democratic and capitalist. Their conflict with the Marxist–Landonist countries was an ideological struggle. The Western bloc was represented by larger organizations, especially the Northern Treaty Organization (NTO), and the Conference of American States (CAS) and the European Community (EC). The Eastern bloc included organizations such as the Chattanooga Pact and the Landonist International, and was dominated by the United Commonwealth (UC) and the People's Republic of China (PRC). The Sierran-led alliance supported anti-communist governments, many of which were dictatorships, all over the world, while the communist states funded pro-communist left-wing movements in other countries, with the newly independent former colonial states in the Third World becoming battlegrounds between those powers. In North America, the Cold War ideological conflict was represented by the East–West geographic divide of the continent, while in Europe it was a North–South divide, though the American-centric terms "Eastern bloc" and "Western bloc" tended to be used the most often to describe the two global alliances because of the predominance of English-language media.
The first phase of the Cold War began in 1939, immediately after the Great War. The Allied powers had convened together to orchestrate the partition of France and the occupation of Russia, which led to the start of disputes between the former allies. The Northern Treaty Organization (NTO) was established in 1940 on the initiative of Sierran prime minister Poncio Salinas, to protect all of the non-communist western countries from a potential invasion by the United Commonwealth and its allies on a scale similar to the Great War. Salinas and his successor Franklin Tan developed a doctrine of containment of the United Commonwealth and the spread of communism. Over the next two decades similar organizations were established in other parts of the world, including the Central Treaty Organization (CENTO) and the Southeast Asia Treaty Organization (SEATO) in an effort to extend the Western military umbrella to countries outside of the West. Ideological tensions also emerged between the leading country of the communist bloc and China, under the leadership of Mao Zedong, who condemned the Decallahanization policy in the United Commonwealth, especially those of Rupert Gardner, which led to the Sino–Continental split in 1969. China and several of its allies joined the Landintern's competitor, ICMMO, becoming the organization's de facto leading member. Folowing the premierships of Alfred Schlieffen and Earl Warren, Sierra pursued the String of Pearls strategy, where it sought to encircle the communist bloc in North America by supporting anti-communist movements in the Caribbean and Latin America. Several major crises involving the two alliances occurred during this time, including the Suez Crisis (1960), the Irish Missile Crisis (1953), the Vietnam War (1955–1975), the Korean War (1950–1953), the Colombia War (1969–1977), Ethiopian conflict (1974–present), and the Second Mesoamerican War (1975–77).
Following the wars in Vietnam and the Andes, the Cold War entered into new phase of the conflict as a new détente between Sierra and the United Commonwealth reoriented the geopolitical landscape. Both countries began open talks on nuclear disarmament and arms reduction. The United Commonwealth began its move towards modern-day Continentalism through Decallahanization, shifting towards a more noninterventionist foreign policy, while Sierra experienced internal civil unrest from Sierra's military campaigns in Colombia and elsewhere. The defeats in Vietnam and Colombia assisted the rise of social democratic parties in Europe, causing the end of several right-wing authoritarian governments. The 1981 and 1984 oil shocks caused a decline in the standard of living in northern Europe and western North America, which led to the fall of several left-leaning governments in Europe and North America, and the rise of conservative parties, from the mid-1980s into the 1990s. Around that time, the rise in the standard of living in many Marxist-Landonist countries caused demand for more politically liberal policies. Sierran and Anglo-American political, economic, and military pressure also began taking a toll on the Landonist governments, while the United Commonwealth's and China's commitment to keep military support to every one of its allies diminished, although tensions between it and the capitalist order renewed. The Caribbean Wars (exemplified by the Jamaican and Central American crises) and the Sino-Tajik War were conflicts which dealt heavy losses militarily and ideologically for the Landonist world.
The result was a wave of revolutions starting in 1999 and 2000 across a number of countries, including Iberia, China, South France, and several other nations that overthrew the communist governments there. The Commonwealth's main rival for leadership in its alliance, the People's Republic of China, was dissolved and replaced with the Republic of China in January 2000. The start of uprisings in China and Iberia led to the collapse of Marxist-Landonist governments elsewhere, and the fall of communism forced the United Commonwealth to come to a lasting peace accord with Sierra and the CAS in a series of summits held between 2000 and 2003. Southern European countries were integrated with the rest of Europe through the European Comminity. This series of events created a Greater Europe "from Lisbon to the Urals" for the first time in history, while North America would see a period of prolonged peace despite lingering mistrust, and uneasy coexistence between Sierra and the Commonwealth.
The Cold War and its events have left a significant legacy. It is often referred to in popular culture, especially with themes of espionage and the threat of nuclear warfare. The period peace would last until the late 2010s, with increased hostilities once again reemerging between Sierra, a Nationalist-led China, and the United Commonwealth, as well as their respective allies, being dubbed by many as a Second Cold War.
Origins of the term
At the end of the Great War, English writer George Orwell used cold war, as a general term, in his essay published October 19, 1938 in the British newspaper Tribune. Contemplating a world living in the shadow of the threat of another great war, Orwell looked at James Burnham's predictions of a polarized world, writing:
Looking at the world as a whole, the drift for many decades has been not towards anarchy but towards the reimposition of slavery... James Burnham's theory has been much discussed, but few people have yet considered its ideological implications—that is, the kind of world-view, the kind of beliefs, and the social structure that would probably prevail in a state which was at once unconquerable and in a permanent state of "cold war" with its neighbours.
In The Observer of July 10, 1939, Orwell wrote, "after the London Conference last August, the Continentals began to make a 'cold war' on Britain and the British Empire."
The first use of the term to describe the specific post-war geopolitical confrontation between the United Commonwealth, Sierra and the United Kingdom, and Germany came in a speech by Winston Locke, an influential advisor to Democratic-Republican prime minsters. The speech, written by a journalist Herbert Bayard Swope, proclaimed, "Let us not be deceived: we are today in the midst of a cold war." Newspaper columnist Walter Lippmann gave the term wide currency with his book The Cold War. When asked in 1956 about the source of the term, Lippmann traced it to a French term from the 1930s, la guerre froide.
Background
The defeat of France, Russia, and Japan during the Great War left the world coalesced around the Allied powers, which were divided between Marxist–Landonist countries and the Western democracies. The former was represented by the United Commonwealth while the latter was represented by the United Kingdom and Sierra. The years 1938 and 1939 saw a brief period of international cooperation among these powers, because Seamus Callahan, Poncio Salinas, and Winston Churchill had an interest in preventing the devastation of another great war like the one that was witnessed over the previous six years. Callahan believed that Sierra would return to its prewar isolationism while the British Empire and the remaining European empires were in the process of decolonization, as the war led to nationalist movements in their colonies, and that their economic state meant it was only a matter of time before communism took over the rest of Europe. That was why Callahan refused attempts by Churchill and Salinas to obtain further cooperation, such as by joining the League of Nations Atomic Energy Commission, and broke his earlier promise to allow non-Communist parties to stand for election in South France. Italy and Spain, occupying South France, also stopped treating France as a single economic unit and broke the food-for-industry deal, by which South France exchanged agricultural produce with North France in return for manufactured goods and coal. They misjudged Salinas, who in 1940 organized the Northern Treaty Organization (NTO) through the signing of the Northern or Porciúncula Treaty. Salinas ended Christopher Rioux's policy of cautious attempts at cooperation with the United Commonwealth and believed that an alliance of northern European and western North American democracies based on mutual defense would prevent a Continental invasion and a second Great War.
The nuclear balance became a key factor of the Cold War. The nuclear weapons were always a source of tension, but even more so in the early phase of the Cold War as both sides did not have any agreements to control the number of weapons or nuclear testing. By 1940 both sides were actively researching nuclear weapons and working on the atomic bomb. The United Commonwealth completed the first atomic bomb in 1945, which was followed by Sierra and the United Kingdom by 1949. The Western powers were able to keep their breakthrough in developing an atomic bomb secret, and Callahan did not learn of their success before his death in 1947, when he ordered the planning for Operation Rapture, an invasion of Sierra with the use of atomic bombs. Franklin Tan ordered the development of the hydrogen bomb in 1948, which both sides achieved by 1953. The H-bomb was followed by the missile race, which changed the primary method of deploying nuclear weapons from strategic bombers to missiles, and was followed after 1960 by the race to create intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBM). By the late 1960s a stalemate had been achieved in the nuclear race on both sides, and emphasis shifted from land-based ICBMs as a delivery mechanism to submarine-based missiles, which could remain undetected underwater in the Pacific or the Atlantic for months at a time. Efforts to use conventional forces to contain communism continued through the Chinese Civil War and the Korean War, up until the Irish Missile Crisis in 1953. From then on conflicts were only fought by proxy.
Relations between the two blocs deteriorated and became irreconcilable after 1939, and especially after Callahan realized that there would be no economic crisis in North France or postwar Japan to trigger a collapse of the Western alliance and a communist revolution. Iberian Union leader Luis Guido broke the agreement to allow economic cooperation between South and North France in the winter of 1939–1940, hoping to instigate an economic collapse in the North that would lead to a reunification under the French Communist government. Callahan refused to accept economic aid from the West or participate in mutual economic assistance among the former allied nations for similar reasons. While Sierra had an interest in preventing all trade barriers and protectionism, to restore economic growth and promote reconstruction, the United Commonwealth closed off most trade with the countries of the West. Accordingly, in the summer of 1940 the NTO refused an attempt to join by the United Commonwealth, setting it as an anti-Continental organization. By the start of 1941 Salinas and the Anglo-Sierran leadership concluded the Callahan had no intention of cooperating and was hostile towards the democratic West. Furthermore Callahan increased assistance to the Chinese Communists in their war against Chiang Kai-shek's Nationalist regime in China, as well as to the Machurian Communists, and wanted to minimize Sierran influence in the Far East. He also increased support for communists in other parts of Asia, hoping to create a ring of Communist states around the Pacific to surround Sierra, while funding a number of anti-colonial movements fighting against the British, Dutch, North French, and Free Portuguese governments.
Containment and the Salinas Plan
As Seamus Callahan's United Commonwealth ended its postwar cooperation and increased support to Communist movements around the world, the Sierran leadership initially struggled to formulate a response, and create a new strategic and military system to counter the growing threat. The first recognition of the new reality of the "cold war" was Winston Churchill's speech about the "Iron Curtain" descending over Europe and North America in the summer of 1939. After the 1939 Sierran election led to Christopher Rioux's removal from office, his successor Poncio Salinas took more decisive action. Salinas, like his predecessor, had to deal with postwar inter-service rivalries among the Army, Navy, and Air Force, and therefore focused on a strategy that was more economic and ideological. Containment was the result. On the domestic front, Salinas pushed for infrastructure and economic projects to revitalize the economy, and this was followed abroad by financial aid to other countries, alleviating poverty to end the appeal of communism, while accepting the status of neutral countries and the right of Sierran allies to pursue their own foreign policy. He also resolved the inability of the Sierran military to implement a unified strategy by creating the Joint Chiefs of the Defense Staff, which was emulated in other countries. As part of his military strategy, which was not fully formed until 1940, Salinas created the Northern Treaty Organization (NTO) to safeguard democracy and Western civilization through an alliance – initially consisting of Sierra, Superior, Astoria, Manitoba, and the European countries that were not communist or neutral (the latter only included Austria and Switzerland).
In Europe, Salinas rejected the desire of Churchill to keep France permanently weakened and devised a plan to reform the French currency, the franc. Living conditions in both North and South France were extremely difficult from 1938 to 1940, but that year he encouraged a reform that introduced a new currency by having the old Fourth Republic francs traded in for a smaller number of new francs. A similar policy was followed in Russia, Japan, and elsewhere. The new currencies could then be exchanged for food and raw materials from other Western countries, and became the basis for the French and more broadly European economic miracle. The reform was so successful by the late 1940s that in France the years from 1950 to 1980 became known as the Trente Glorieuses (Glorious Thirty Years). The northern European economies followed a market-based and state-directed economic policy that brought about rapid growth and prevented the "red scare," or danger of a takeover by local Communist parties. The North French regime, restored as a monarchy under the House of Orléans because of the association of republicanism with Jacques Doriot and derzhavism, began operating in October 1940. In the Balkans, the economies of Romania, Hungary, Czechia, Slovakia, and Bulgaria became linked to Germany and North France, helping their recovery and development, while newly independent Ukraine, Belarus, the Baltic states, Finland, Poland, and the postwar government in Russia all followed their example. In response to all of these developments, at the end of 1941 the militarization of South France began and non-Communist parties were declared illegal, while Croatia and Albania were brought into the Mediterranean Union with Italy and Spain, and arms shipments to the Greek Communists were increased during the political crisis after Greece's defeat in the Turkish War of Independence.
China became the largest flashpoint between the two blocs and became a source of regional crises that nearly brought the West and China to war. By the end of the war in 1938, large parts of China were outside of the control of the Nationalist regime, some ruled by warlords while others controlled by the Communists, who were based in the remote mountains of north China. Chinese president Chiang Kai-shek established close ties with Sierran and British leaders, and ensured continued financial support for his regime after 1938, even as much of the money disappeared due to the massive corruption at all levels of the Nationalist government. The draining of food and income from the peasants to support the army, the funneling of Western arms to the Communists by corrupt officials, and the reselling of supplies on the black market left Nationalist China increasingly weak by 1940. As Japanese forces withdrew from China, Manchuria, and Korea in 1939, they inadvertently left behind a vacuum that was filled by local Communists, and Chiang attempted to crush the Communists everywhere instead of concentrating his remaining forces. The Communists gained ground from increased support among the peasants and the defeat of disorganized and isolated Nationalist units between 1939 and 1941. Salinas had advised Chiang to consolidate with the Communists temporarily and rebuild China due to his weakened position, but he ignored the advice, and the assistance of Sierran military officers was limited because of the ongoing demobilization as well as language and communication problems.
The corruption and ineptitude of the Chiang regime continued, ensuring that the peasants were agitated by mobilization against the Communists and food shortages in Nationalist areas, while Mao Zedong developed a system for distributing food in the Communist zones. Sierran field marshal Edmund Xu traveled to China in 1942 and concluded that Chiang's position was hopeless, though he recommended to Salinas to continue assistance to the Chinese Nationalists. By 1946 the Sierran advisory mission decided that only direct intervention could save Chiang as the Nationalists were being reduced to coastal provinces and major cities, while the countryside and western China had been lost to Mao. Contrary to Sierran belief at the time, Mao's success was largely independent of any help from the United Commonwealth. That did not stop the "China lobby" that supported the Chinese Nationalists in the Royalist Party of Sierra from blaming alleged secret Landonists in the Sierran Foreign Ministry for the defeats and setbacks suffered by the Nationalist Army, accusing them of not sending enough aid. The Communists did not complete their takeover of the last coastal cities held by the Nationalists until 1949, leading to Chiang Kai-shek's exile in Sierra for the rest of his life. Mao met with Seamus Callahan prior to his death, in 1946, and with Amelia Fowler Crawford in 1949, whose foreign policy outlook was similar to Callahan's. Their arrangement was that Communist China received economic support from the United Commonwealth in return for pressuring Sierra's allies in the Far East and supporting communist parties, and respecting the independence of Communist Manchuria. This led to Chinese assistance to Communist forces in North Vietnam, Indonesia, and Korea.
Crisis and Escalation
Pre-Irish Missile Crisis wars
The loss of China in 1949 prompted a strategic debate about the Containment doctrine, which had been predicated on a balance between Continental mass armies and Sierran nuclear weapons advancements. This policy had achieved victory in Europe by strengthening North France, Germany, Britain, Russia, and numerous other countries through the Salinas Plan and preventing a Communist takeover, and by helping Greece during its civil war, ending with the Greek entry into the NTO in 1950. The biggest failure was the defeat in China (which was also paralleled by Indonesian Revolution, where the Indonesian Communists defeated the Dutch administration and took power over an independent Indonesia), but the Salinas administration and its successor, the Franklin Tan administration, believed in the 1940s that Europe was the priority over Asia. As the main weapon of each side neutralized the other, both had to rely on other means of countering each other, with the United Commonwealth launching full support for Communist movements across the world, while the Sierran response was a defensive posture and assistance to anti-Communist allies. Callahan, towards the end of his life, as well as Crawford, thought they could overwhelm Sierra's forces and economic potential by diverting it away from North America. During the 1950s these diversions occurred mainly in the Far East and in the Middle East.
Franklin Tan responded to the loss of China by extending the Sierran military umbrella over countries of the Pacific, which necessitated a similar alliance to the NTO in Europe and North America, that would trigger an immediate Sierran and allied response to any attack. On the insistence of General George S. Patton, commander of Sierran Pacific Command, the line of defense did not include China, Korea, or Manchuria, and all troops were withdrawn from those countries by January 1950. Patton envisioned a Sierran perimeter that ran from Tondo through Japan to Alaska. Tan informed the Sierran House of Commons that he was not against using military power west of that line, but that they were responsible for their own defense, and through the League of Nations. In private, some leaders in Porciúncula looked forward to establishing ties with China to begin a diplomatic effort to split Mao away from the United Commonwealth, believing that their interests were too divergent. In Great Britain, the Labour Party government of Dennis Glynne-Jones was one of the first to extend recognition to Mao. Tan and Patton represented a minority in the Sierran government at the time that would to continue hostilities with the Communist Chinese regime out of personal reasons and a hatred of communism. The Sierran withdrawal from Korea in 1950 was interpreted by Mao, who had aggressive intentions towards any country not subordinate to China, as an indication that Sierra would not defend the country.
In June 1950, the Chinese People's Liberation Army, aided by about 20,000 Korean communists in exile, launched an invasion from Manchuria into Korea. The army of the Republic of Korea (ROK) lacked artillery, armor, and aircraft, was quickly pushed back from the Manchurian border. Within days, the Chinese had taken over three-quarters of the peninsula and were approaching the southern ports, where the remaining ROK troops were holding out. The invasion shocked the Western world, but Franklin Tan responded by committing Sierran forces to the defense of Korea. The majority of the League of Nations General Assembly voted in favor of a collective military action to support the ROK, and demanded a Chinese withdrawal to the pre-invasion Manchurian border. The Sierran Pacific Fleet began moving troops into Korea from Japan and other bases in the region. However, the intervention was difficult to carry out, as there were only three under-strength Army divisions and one Sierran Royal Marines division available in the immediate area, and their presence did not shift the military balance away from China's advantage. The Sierran arrival was still a shock to Mao, who had been encouraged by the apparent lack of support for Chiang Kai-shek less than a year earlier. The actions taken by Franklin Tan initially had a high approval in Sierra, so much so that he ordered a partial mobilization of reservists to support the effort.
The Chinese Communist government had no intention of allowing a Sierran-occupied Korea to reach up to the Manchurian frontier, and after the initial shock, the Sierran intervention prompted Mao to commit more resources to the fight. The PLA assembled several hundred thousand troops in northeast China and sent reinforcements into Korea in preparation to wipe out the ROK holdouts, though this was hampered by the lack of a developed road or railway network on the Chinese side of the border, while Sierra sent in its troops and supplies to south Korean ports. Transporting reinforcements by sea was ruled out as the People's Liberation Army Navy was vulnerable to the Sierran and the British navy. Franklin Tan wanted to a void a direct war with China, including for the reason that the public would not support it in the long term, and there was a neo-isolationist tendency among some parts of the Royalist Party. However, an attempt to land two Sierran divisions at Inchon, to attack the PLA from the north while the main force pushed from the south, failed in September 1950 as the Chinese contained the Sierrans near the landing zone. After a prolonged stalemate, a gigantic Chinese counteroffensive involving over 30 divisions forced the remaining Sierran Marines to abandon Inchon, while also making its way through the southern area, after the initial League of Nations and ROK advance there.
As the war settled into a stalemate in the south by January 1951, Patton pushed for the commitment of more troops and strategic bombings of Chinese cities and industries (as had been done to France in the Great War), seeing it as an opportunity to end Communism in Asia. Tan and other generals told Patton to restrain himself, and that Europe and the NTO were Sierra's priority over the Far East, while his supporters in the House of Commons and the Senate opposed any limitations on Patton as "isolationism" and "appeasement of Communism." Patton was removed from command and replaced, but his return to Sierra was greeted by large crowds, and he agitated for his proposals among Royalist politicians. Sierran planners understood that they did not have enough bombers to carry out a significant campaign against Chinese industry, a blockade would not work against a largely self-sufficient economy, and any escalation would endanger Sierra's standing in Europe and at the LN. The rest of 1951 was spent with intermittent fighting along the front line as Sierran airpower protected the ground troops, but the Continental Air Force provided aircraft and pilots for the PLAAF that changed the tide in 1952 and made the ROK untenable. Despite facing accusations of "appeasement" from hardliners among the Royalists and Democratic-Republicans, Tan agreed to withdraw Sierran and LN troops from Korea and accept the DPRK control in March 1953.
While the Korean War was approaching its conclusion, in the fall of 1952 Crawford authorized the deployment of intermediate-range nuclear missiles to Ireland. There several reasons for this, including the need to make up for Communist southern Europe's lack of nuclear weapons, but it was also to pressure Sierra to withdraw from Korea and complete the Chinese victory there. The Irish Missile Crisis broke out when Royal Air Force reconnaissance planes identified nuclear weapon facilities being built in Ireland. After a period of negotiations, which were preceded by preparations by Tan and his British counterpart Edward Lean for Anglo-Sierran attacks on bases in Ireland if no agreement was reached, the United Commonwealth removed its nuclear weapons from Ireland, in return for a partial demilitarization of the French border, security guarantees for Ireland from Britain, and a Sierran and LN withdrawal from Korea, accepting it as part of the Chinese sphere. The full result of the negotiations was kept secret at the time, and the Missile Crisis was widely seen as an embarrassment for Crawford in the Continentalist Party, even though it was a net benefit for the Sino-Continental position. The highly-publicized success of Tan in the getting the missiles removed from Ireland also gave him enough political capital to abandon the ROK to the DPRK without facing accusations of "treason," or a repeat of the loss of China in 1949. Another outcome was that it forced a reevaluation of the Sierran military and its capabilities, revealing shortcomings, especially in the air force. The development of tactical airpower for use by the Sierran Army and Marines, in different conditions than the Air Force, was one of the results of the reevaluation.
Vietnam, Suez, and the String of Pearls
The Franklin Tan administration survived the loss of China and Korea, but the sudden withdrawal after the Irish Missile Crisis still surprised the public, and led to accusations from Tan's right of "communist subversion" and "Landonists in Porciúncula." The Royalists were unable to win the 1955 election, and his Democratic-Republican successor Henry Faulkner denounced the Korean War as an "unnecessary waste" resulting from incompetent leadership, despite previously supporting General Patton's call to commit more troops to the conflict. For those that opposed the "weak and incoherent" policies of the previous several years, containment had been an unsuccessful half-measure, as John Avery described it in 1955, and they instead favored "retaliation." Avery worked as Royal Intelligence Agency director during the Faulkner years, and was appointed as Minister of Foreign Affairs by his successor, Alfred Schlieffen, in 1959. Avery, as a representative of the radical right, developed an alternative to neo-isolationism strain among some Royalists in the aftermath of China and Korea, which was being willing to go to the brink of nuclear war over every conflict that broke out in the buffer fringe between the Communist bloc and the Western democracies. Avery's position was almost a mirror image of Crawford's prior to 1953. He also considered the Pittsburgh and London Conferences at the end of the Great War to have gone to far in making concessions and "assisting the United Commonwealth," and criticized Franklin Tan for not stopping Sierran allies, especially Britain, from engaging in trade with Mao's China.
As the RIA director and later as Foreign Minister, he articulated the policy of "massive retaliation" in response to any advance by the Communists anywhere in the world, and left the conditions on how much aggression would justify a response deliberately ambiguous, so that potentially anything could trigger Sierran military involvement. By retaliation he also meant strategic bombing, both conventional and nuclear. Avery visited Japan, Tondo, Thailand, Hashemite Arabia, Iraq, and the Trucial States from 1955 to 1956 in an effort to create a network of security alliances to this effect. His work to create a series of triggers around the Communist powers meant that, in addition to the NTO, CENTO (also called the Baghdad Pact) and SEATO were established by the start of 1957. The majority of Europe, including Greece after 1950, the Persian Gulf countries and the Anatolian Republic, and Tondo, Singapore, Thailand, and New South Wales became part of this arrangement, called the "String of Pearls." Avery treated both allies and non-aligned countries outside of the Western bloc with contempt, willing to risk alienating Sierra from them, because he was only interested in setting up barriers through security treaties that prevent any outward Communist advance. He was not concerned about developing these alliances in the military or political sense, only seeing their utility as a tripwire for Sierran retaliation. Great Britain and France were opposed to Avery's insistence on "massive retaliation" from the beginning, not wanting to become a target of Continental nuclear bombs because of some conflict in the Third World. They believed that the NTO was a logical extension of shared European culture and heritage with North America, while seeing the members of CENTO and SEATO as undeveloped and militarily incapable of defending themselves, making the possibility of nuclear war more likely.
The differences between the Faulkner ministry and the Europeans were visible in 1956, when the Austrian State Treaty was signed in Geneva, ending the Italian military occupation of the southern portion of that country and fully establishing Austria as a neutral state within its pre-Great War borders. The negotiations were mainly done by Continental paramount leader Lysander Hughes and British prime minister Edward Lean, while John Avery attended for symbolic reasons but otherwise stayed out of the talks. The focus of Sierra and its North American allies on Asia led to talk that Sierra was adopting an "Asia First" policy while downgrading Europe's strategic importance. This deescalation had a positive reception in Britain and North France, who wanted to focus on their colonial conflicts, such as in Indochina and Algeria, instead of devoting conventional forces towards the militarization of the continent. But nothing besides the Austrian Treaty came of the Geneva summit, after Hughes' suggestion about an "open skies treaty" by which Sierra and the United Commonwealth would be allowed to monitor each others' nuclear arsenals through aerial reconnaissance, as a trust-building measure, was rejected on the spot by Avery.
The late 1950s also saw domestic political developments. By 1958 in Sierra, the Democratic-Republicans strongly supported a larger role for Sierra in global affairs and a proactive defense, while the Royalists were more divided, with a significant faction favoring limited defense spending and less international involvement. The Faulkner administration took a position that was more favorable to Avery's retaliation policy, and although he went from the RIA to the Foreign Ministry after the Royalist victory in 1959 in the ministry of Alfred Schlieffen, he was counterbalanced by others in the cabinet. Therefore the early 1960s saw Avery adopting the old containment doctrine of Franklin Tan while continuing to speak out against it in public. The development of more advanced nuclear weapons and delivery systems, with ICBMs gradually making strategic bombers obsolete, also raised the cost of maintaining large nuclear forces needed for massive retaliation. In the United Commonwealth, there was a shift away from the militarist and authoritarian Old Guard of the Continentalist Party, based on the influence of the emerging "New Left," especially in the northeast of the country. Lysander Hughes' leadership after the death of Crawford began the movement away from the hardline militarism of her and Seamus Callahan, and he carried out state visits to Egypt and India in 1957 to improve relations with non-aligned countries, as the Near East and Southeast Asia were being seen as increasingly important to Continental leaders, in part due to the anti-colonial and pro-liberation sentiment of the New Left.
Hughes began to revive attempts at international cooperation with the west, and had some success in spite of the hostility of the Sierran foreign minister. Hughes also had an easier time accepting the necessary neutrality of the newly independent states of Asia and the Near East than Sierran and European leaders, which worked to the benefit of the United Commonwealth. This made it easier for the United Commonwealth to cooperate with non-communist anti-colonial forces than it had in the Crawford or Callahan years, such as in Egypt. The Egyptian revolution of 1952 swept away the pro-British monarchy by Arab nationalist military officers, leading to the rise of Gamal Abdel Nasser in 1954. He was a member of the Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party and implemented a socialist program, creating a mixed economy in Egypt. He was not explicitly anti-Western initially, but attempting to make himself the leader of a pan-Arab nationalist movement and getting himself involved in intrigues all over the Arab world, from Morocco to the Persian Gulf, set him against Sierra's allies in the region. Nasser also found that to make himself the leader of the Arab world, he had to denounce the continued European colonial presence. Despite this, John Avery tried to get Egypt to join the Central Treaty Organization in the mid-1950s, and authorized Sierran foreign aid as funding for Nasser's infrastructure projects in Egypt to win him over. But after Hashemite Arabia intervened in Palestine in 1959 to remove the Arab Nationalist Movement from power and prevent Palestine from becoming an Egyptian puppet, Nasser refused to accept the Hashemite occupation. Avery, who saw everything through the prism of the fight against Communism and did not recognize local problems, tried to pressure Egypt cutting off the Sierran funding for the Aswan High Dam project. In response, Nasser suddenly nationalized the Suez Canal, taking control of it from the British in July 1960.
Tensions rose over the next few months as negotiations failed to resolve the crisis. Britain and North France made preparations to intervene in Egypt to force international management over the canal, but the Hashemites struck Egypt first from Palestine at the end of October 1960. King Faisal II wanted to humiliate Nasser and end his scheming against the Arab dynasties. However, the initial gains made by the Hashemite Arabian Army were reversed, and Britain was unable to get support from the Sierrans for its own intervention, launched in mid-November. The Hashemites were driven out of Egypt, but the Anglo-French troops made it to just outside Cairo by the time the LN General Assembly voted to condemn the intervention against Egypt. Avery was enraged that the British and French started a war outside of the network of alliances that he had set up. He and Schlieffen cooperated with Hughes to get the resolution passed in the General Assembly that ordered the Anglo-French troops to withdraw from Egypt. Under the pressure of both Sierra and the United Commonwealth, Britain accepted a ceasefire and withdrew. The Suez crisis had the immediate effect of reducing British influence in the Middle East and the granting of independence to Algeria by North France in 1962, around the time that many other former colonies in Sub-Saharan Africa also gained their independence. The resulting power vacuum in the unstable Arab states that emerged resulted in the Arab Cold War over the next several decades, despite Britain's efforts to continue to maintain influence at least in the Persian Gulf.
By 1960, especially after the Suez crisis, the Communist and Western powers were moving towards cooperation under the leadership of Lysander Hughes and later Rupert Gardner from 1961. But the growing crisis in Indochina became the biggest obstacle that prevented any serious deescalation and initiated the "Rocky Road" phase of the Cold War for the rest of the 1960s. North France had been fighting a war in the region against local rebel groups since 1938, not wanting to see the considerable wealth provided to the country from Indochina to be lost, and spent the 1940s using the French Army to maintain its control over the area. Hồ Chí Minh, leader of the Viet Minh and a former member of the French Communist Party, proclaimed a socialist republic in the north in 1939, while the French created an autonomous government in the south, based in Saigon. South France relinquished all of its claims to French colonies in 1940, but otherwise did not get involved in opposing North France in Vietnam due to its own difficulties. The Viet Minh suffered from a lack of weapons in their first decade, recieving limited assistance from Callahan's United Commonwealth, but after the victory of Communist China in 1949 they received extensive support from Mao.
The Rocky Road
The conflict in Vietnam intensified in the years after 1949, as Mao consolidated his power in China and took extremely aggressive action against the country's non-Communist neighbors. The end of the Korean War in 1953 allowed him to commit more resources to the struggle in French Indochina. In the meantime, North France wanted to make up for its defeat in the Great War and took intensive measures to wipe out the growing Vietnamese insurgency. By 1953 about 200,000 French troops and their local Vietnamese allies were being outmaneuvered by over 300,000 Vietnamese guerillas, and in North France the war was becoming unpopular. Franklin Tan spoke with North French premier Jean-Louis Tixier-Vignancour in January 1954, who was able to convince Tan to support the French war effort, as he wanted to avoid another defeat like in China or Korea. Meanwhile, Lysander Hughes wanted to pursue international cooperation through the League of Nations, and avoided getting the United Commonwealth entangled in combat in Vietnam. This left Mao's China as the main backer of the Vietnamese insurgency. In May 1954 the Battle of Dien Bien Phu, where a large French force was trapped and defeated by the Vietnamese, caused the French government to seek a ceasefire and negotiations that summer. The resulting deal led to Ho Chi Minh's Communist government being organized in North Vietnam, while the independent republics of South Vietnam and Champa were recognized as part of the French and the Sierran sphere of influence. Laos and Cambodia remained as neutral states.
The Henry Faulkner administration that entered office a year later was even more committed to the defense of this region. Before the end of 1955, John Avery brought the Southeast Asia Treaty Organization (SEATO) into existence, involving Tondo, Singapore, Thailand, and New South Wales, along with Sierra and Britain. In early 1956 the council of representatives from the member states of SEATO voted unanimously to extend the mutual defense umbrella to South Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia. Avery authorized RIA assistance to right-wing military figures in all three countries, which alienated the local populations and led to outbreaks of fighting. The instability in Laos after the RIA-rigged elections of August 1960 allowed Communist guerillas to move across that country into Cambodia, where the government sought to preserve its independence from militarized Thailand and South Vietnam through good relations with China and North Vietnam, and from there work to destabilize the Saigon regime of Ngo Dinh Diem. Burma was lost to the Communist bloc mainly for economic reasons, as its main export, rice, was needed in China, which was in the midst of an agricultural collapse. South Vietnam had an agricultural surplus and smaller population, making it a more valuable target for the North. In December 1960, China and the other Communist countries increased their support for the Pathet Lao and other left-wing partisans in Lao, causing Sierra to fear the destabilization of the entire region due to that country's central location. The instability of the South Vietnamese government was another factor, which was dominated by the arbitrary cruelty and corruption of the Diem family. They were Catholics, and Ngo Dinh Diem forced the army to spend its resources persecuting South Vietnam's Buddhist majority instead of fighting the Viet Cong guerillas. Faulkner authorized the deployment of Sierran advisers to the country at the urging of Avery.
The increasing success of the Viet Cong, despite the economic and military assistance of Sierra to South Vietnam, much of which never reached the common people and was squandered by the Diem family. The Sierrans began participating in combat in early 1961, and formed strategic fortified villages to draw out the rebels. In 1962 the Viet Cong began taking control of important towns, creating the need for more direct Sierran involvement, while the United Commonwealth under Rupert Gardner began providing them with assistance. Gardner worked to improve relations with the West, wanting to deescalate tensions between the two blocs, but his effort was undermined by the Old Guard of the Party, pressuring him to render assistance to the Communist struggle in the former colonial world. In the summer of 1963, a military coup with the support of the RIA removed the Diem family from power, and a new Buddhist government calmed the domestic tensions caused by Diem's suppression of the Buddhist majority. This did nothing to stop the growing insurgency, and in 1964, after the Gulf of Tonkin incident, the House of Commons authorized Alfred Schlieffen to deploy as many troops as necessary to South Vietnam to put down the uprising. The Schlieffen ministry was replaced by the Earl Warren after the 1965 election, who and replaced Avery's "massive retaliation" doctrine with gradual deterrence, but kept the foreign minister in his cabinet. Warren reduced the threat of a nuclear war, but increased Sierra's conventional forces in South Vietnam, pressuring Britain and Manitoba to contribute troops as part of his Many Flags initiative, based on the example of the LN Forces in Korea.
New Cold War
The Final Years
Aftermath
In popular culture
Shortly after the start of the Cold War, the Kingdom of Sierra and the United Commonwealth began mass production of propaganda against one another. The propaganda produced by each state was designed to expand their own influence both regionally and globally, with examples including songs, literary works, and the production of motion pictures. The propaganda within the United Commonwealth typically promoted more traditional aspects of culture, as displayed in major films that depicted Sierra as evil under the style of Continentalist realism.
See also
- Second Cold War
- Great War II
- Sierran imperialism
- Continental empire
- Mitteleuropa
- Red Scare
- Crimson Scare
- Continental espionage in Sierra
- Sierran espionage in the United Commonwealth
- Outline of the Cold War
- Timeline of events in the Cold War
- War on Terror
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- Start-class articles
- Altverse II
- Cold War
- 20th-century conflicts
- Global conflicts
- International relations
- Geopolitical rivalry
- Wars involving the United Commonwealth
- Wars involving the Kingdom of Sierra
- Wars involving China
- Wars involving the NTO
- Wars involving the Landonist International
- Wars involving the CAS
- Aftermath of the Great War
- Nuclear warfare
- History of NTO
- 1950s neologisms
- China–Kingdom of Sierra relations
- Kingdom of Sierra–United Commonwealth relations
- China–United Commonwealth relations